Tag Archive: revisions

Time to take profits in Financials?

14 October 2021 As Q3 earnings season gets underway, stocks in the Financials sector are in focus as they are typically among the first to report earnings. While history indicates companies are on average likely to beat Q3 estimates, our…
Read more

Emerging Markets fundamental momentum still very weak

2 September 2021 In our regional allocation work, we have been underweight in Emerging Markets relative to developed markets since May, and remain so currently. A key reason for our continued underweight stance is that the relative fundamental momentum for…
Read more

Market volatility vs Style volatility

4 August 2021 Equity market volatility has been declining this year and has recently been below the long-run average. However, under the surface of the calm at the major index level, style rotation between Growth and Value has been extremely…
Read more

Cyclical sectors still have the fundamental momentum

24 June 2021 One of the biggest questions we have been getting from clients is “is it time to rotate out of Cyclical/Value sectors toward Growth (or Defensive) sectors?”. Based on our measures of fundamental earnings momentum and macro views,…
Read more

Analysts raising estimates at a record pace, again

3 June 2021 While we have commented on the strength in US earnings estimate revisions activity recently, the latest readings warrant additional comment. Our data now show a new record (20-year+) high in the net proportion of analysts raising earnings…
Read more

Cyclical sectors still dominating globally on earnings trends

As we discussed in our last commentary, analysts continue to raise earnings estimates broadly as companies keep beating consensus expectations. Expectations of additional fiscal spending and ongoing easy monetary policy along with progress toward re-opening of the economy are key…
Read more

Is the rebound in earnings estimate revisions peaking?

Our measures of aggregated earnings estimate revisions trends have shown some of their most dramatic movements on record this year, and now may be looking extended. After reaching historically extreme negative readings in April/May amid the initial COVID-19 lockdowns, earnings…
Read more